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 News Around the Republic of Mexico | February 2006 
Calderón Ties López Obrador in Mexico
 Angus Reid Global
Two candidates are even in the Mexican presidential race, according to a poll by GEA-ISA. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for former Mexico City mayor Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD), while 35 per cent would support National Action Party (PAN) candidate and former energy secretary Felipe Calderón.
Former Tabasco governor Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is third with 29 per cent. Patricia Mercado of the Social-Democratic and Peasant Alternative Party (PASC) and Roberto Campa of the New Alliance Party (PNA) are also contending.
The PAN’s Vicente Fox ended 71 years of uninterrupted rule by the PRI in the 2000 election, winning a six-year term with 42.5 per cent of the vote.
Support for López Obrador dropped by seven points since May, while backing for Madrazo remained stable. The Mexican presidential election is scheduled for Jul. 2.
Other voting intention surveys released in the past few weeks had placed López Obrador alone in first place. PRD spokesman Gerardo Fernández Norońa criticized the polling company, saying, "GEA-ISA will have to take these results back, because they are artificially boosting Calderón. There is no social or political phenomenon that would accredit the numbers GEA-ISA claims."
In the May 2005 survey, interior secretary Santiago Creel was included as the PAN’s prospective nominee, and was a distant third, with 26 per cent.
Polling Data
What candidate would you vote for in the 2006 presidential election?
(Decided Voters)
Andrés Manuel López Obrador (PRD)
Feb. 2005 - 35%
May. 2005 - 42%
Felipe Calderón (PAN)
Feb. 2005 - 35%
May. 2005 - 26% (*)
Roberto Madrazo (PRI)
Feb. 2005 - 29%
May. 2005 - 29%
(*) Santiago Creel was listed as the PAN’s prospective candidate in the May survey.
Source: GEA-ISA
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,400 Mexican adults, conducted from Jan. 21 to Jan. 23, 2006. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent. |
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