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Computers: What is the Next Device? How Will it Work? Guillermo Ramón Adames y Suari - PVNN June 09, 2010
| | There is a whole new world waiting for us that we still do not know about. | | | | This article summarizes only my guess based on my experience and in the new tendencies that I am aware of in the computer world from the forums I have access to in the US.
First: How many devices do we need? How many devices do we actually have? Each of us has different needs and we usually need a phone (smartphone whichever brand) that would allow us to do all sorts of internet consulting and even GPS; listen to music or take pictures. Eventually "to make a phone call". A good camera and various versions of a computer. Operations will overlap between devices like Skype phoning or pictures taken by phones or webcams and email answering via a smartphone or via computer.
The new device will be called something like i-Center. To my mind this will certainly come out in some three years time and my guess is that it will be "the son" of the i-pad. But the idea has to reach overall technical maturity. This is not publicity for Apple Computers but it seems to be next generation of computers altogether: No other computer company in the world has offered to the public more alternatives in the recent years. Many of their devices have been copied or "improved". But they do have the lead.
My guess is that the i-Center will be a mixture of micro processors, four or five of the newer generation of processors that will obtain the best from Intel and Motorola married for the best. The item will have 2 physical components and one of them will be a "super smart phone". The other component will be a new concept in computing. It will be supported by a knowledge center and jammed with ssd storage. What is known today as RAM will be the supra-core operation of the computer. RAM in this device will be in the whereabouts of 5 times what we know today as a HD. It will be able to administer at least 2 internet/telephone connections simultaneously through the basically two different technologies available for ISP's and cell phone companies: GMS and CDMA technologies. In this device, the best of worlds in the microprocessor industries will finally co-work and offer the best for the end user. The idea here is that the device will operate "more like a brain". A computer stores applications and it operates when the applications are called upon. Here the applications will identify the processes and diagnose/act right away, just like a brain does.
The important part will be how the knowledge center will operate. The device will be mostly saturated with information as a brain is. The idea behind my reasoning is that today we have "hard" data but this device, will have something else: information will be stored in images. Let me explain: if I refer to a file in which the actual weight of students is the core information, we will have a file with a list of raw data. One single purpose file. A statistical study could be carried out, a number of statistics could be calculated such as confidence intervals etc. etc. But what if we transmit an image that has among other info in one single image, the weight? Images will store the information into various layers in which the knowledge center could extract whatever information we require. Image will pass from what we know today as "image", to something "more than an image". The knowledge center will be able to extract whatever information we require.
Internet: there is no way back! Internet will be heart of everything and the flux of information will be in such a way that at least two communication lines will be used by the device to operate optimally with the net. One line to send and another line to receive in a kind of loop. This will be the first time in which we will be able to communicate through images. Today, an image is a photo of a cathedral, a planet, an architectural plan, a photo of the sub-aquatic world etc. We will still be able to send/receive such images. But in the future we will generate images out of various sources and possibly send an image that "is not very pretty" but contains a lot of information and in transmitting that image I have transmitted a massive set of data. Surely enough sound or/and voice will form part of the image. A whole new concept that we are not aware of today.
Another feature that will be part of the device will be the analysis of human behavior through scanning. Not many people will be happy with this component but it will be like the "smile identification" of current digital cameras. This will be the first steps of analyzing behavior openly and independently from the information available in social networks. To my mind, social networks will have a clash with current values. Like many other computer technologies, behavior analysis will have a long way to go. Remember the first orthographic correctors in older word processors? Remember the first OCR's? It will start the very same way. The first goal will be to identify patterns: Behavioral repetitive patterns. This software will be incorporated in the future video conferences. In the past, political analysts would analyze the behavior of personalities from a taped conversation. Tendencies and repetitiveness will be the first behaviors spotted. You would want to get a "second advice" of how your negotiation is going along from behavioral analysis point of view: wouldn't you? So will be your counterpart on your behavior!!! Incorporate a thorough analysis of social networks with what will be left of additional information through your web page and your comments, people you follow in twitter or facebook or whatever. You will have a full analysis of the person in front of you and vice-versa. It seems obvious that you will be nobody unless you have a profile (professional or human) someplace in the net. There are fashions and "who is who". Today nobody can escape to this tendency. It is like in the past: If you needed a loan, you must have an impeccable banking history if a banker was going to lend you money: If you do not have this component you would get no loan. Today, internet is going to be "another" type of filter. And you better have a profile somewhere and a good one. There will be no: "I cannot stand computers". If you are not computer literate, you are simply out of today's world. Period.
A whole new set of applications will come out and probably there will be companies that will manage "your internet setup" running from web pages to social networks. Other companies will help "generate an image" of you. Even more you will be advised like head-hunters tell you how to behave in a job interview and match your interests to the company you are applying to. There is a whole new world waiting for us that we still do not know about. Like this, there are many other possible scenarios and I hope that my guess is not far from reality.
Guillermo Ramón Adames y Suari is a former electoral officer of the United Nations Organization. Contact him at gui.voting(at)gmail.com
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