Puerto Vallarta, Mexico – Meteorological authorities have released the official forecast for the 2026 tropical cyclone season, warning of significant activity in both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and encouraging residents to stay informed and prepared as the season approaches.
According to the National Weather Service, the 2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season will officially begin on May 15 and continue through November 30, with the most active period typically occurring between July and October. Forecasters note that a developing El Niño could contribute to increased storm activity in the Pacific basin.
Historical data supports this outlook. Since 1990, even moderate El Niño conditions have resulted in above-average Eastern Pacific hurricane seasons about 85 percent of the time.
For the Pacific Ocean, meteorologists predict between 18 and 21 tropical systems will form during the season. Of these, 9 to 10 are expected to become tropical storms. An estimated 5 to 6 storms could strengthen into Category 1 or 2 hurricanes, while 4 to 5 systems may intensify into Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricanes, which are considered major due to their destructive potential.
In the Atlantic Ocean, the hurricane season officially begins on June 1. Forecasters expect between 11 and 15 systems to develop in this basin. Of those, 7 to 8 are forecast to become tropical storms, with 3 to 5 reaching Category 1 or 2 hurricane strength. Between 1 and 2 storms could become major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.
Officials also released the official lists of storm names that will be assigned as systems develop throughout the season. Atlantic names for 2026 include Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Leah, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, and Wilfred.
In the Eastern Pacific, storms will be named Amanda, Boris, Cristina, Douglas, Elida, Fausto, Genevieve, Hernan, Iselle, Julio, Karina, Lowell, Marie, Norbert, Odalys, Polo, Rachel, Simon, Trudy, Vance, Winnie, Xavier, Yolanda, and Zeke.
Meteorological authorities are urging residents – especially those in coastal regions – to monitor official forecasts throughout the season and take early precautions when necessary. Tropical systems can bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and dangerous waves, making preparedness an essential part of staying safe during hurricane season.
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