As of 4:00 pm on Friday, September 30, 2022, Tropical Storm Orlene was located 445 km south-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco with maximum sustained winds of 100 kilometers per hour (km/h), gusts of 120 km/h and a north-northwestward movement of 7 km/h.
It is expected to strengthen to a category 1 hurricane early Saturday morning as it approaches the Mexican coast and continues to move northwestward.
Its cloud bands increase the probability of very heavy rains (from 50 to 75 millimeters [mm]) in Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán and Nayarit, as well as winds with gusts of 40 to 50 km/h on the coasts of Colima and Jalisco.
The National Meteorological Service (SMN), of the National Water Commission (Conagua), in coordination with the National Hurricane Center in Miami, has issued a Hurricane Watch for Las Islas Marias in Nayarit, and a tropical storm watch for the coast of mainland Mexico from Manzanillo, Colima, to San Blas, Nayarit.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
The precipitation generated by this system could increase the level of rivers and streams, and cause overflows and floods in areas of the aforementioned states, for which the population and maritime navigation are urged to heed the warnings of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), of the National Water Commission (Conagua), and follow the indications of the state, municipal and Civil Protection authorities.
For more information on weather conditions, consult gob.mx/conagua, smn.conagua.gob.mx, nhc.noaa.gov, the @conagua_mx and @conagua_clima Twitter accounts, and on Facebook, as well as in the application for mobile devices ConaguaClima, where you can find out the forecast by municipality.